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Weekly outlook | strong Dollar, limited data releases think week

Vantage Updated Updated Tue, 2024 June 25 02:06

Important events this week:

The last trading week was characterized by various interest rate decisions. Overall, volatility in markets was limited, with hardly any major fluctuations. The Dollar was able to build up new potential. The Euro, Pound and Aussi fell again, particularly against the Greenback. Stock markets could now prove interesting momentum. Major indices fell on Friday last week, and pressure in markets could increase again if profit-taking intensifies further. In this context, precious metals also show further losses and are turning downwards again. If Silver continues to settle below the USD 29.00 mark, there could be further downward pressure. The Japanese Yen is also exciting, as the market is now trading near the USD 160.00 zone, against the US dollar, where the Japanese central bank might intervene again. Short- term selling pressure could hence develop.

CA – Consumer Price Index – The Canadian dollar has been able to develop renewed potential in recent days. There are signs of further strength here, as rising oil prices in particular seems to be having a positive influence. The Loonie is not only gaining against the Greenback. The EUR is also showing negative potential, meaning that the Canadian dollar could also continue to gain ground here.

The weekly chart indicates a break of the 50- moving average. Further downward pressure could materialize if the price remains below 1.4650. The data will be published on Tuesday, 25 June at 14:30 CET.

AU – Consumer Price Index – Last week, the key interest rate in Australia has not been lowered. The central bank is waiting for consumer prices to cool further. This week’s data is therefore likely to act as a key indicator and could then add further volatility to the AUD. Month-on-month consumer prices are expected to fall from 0.5% to 0.3%. Overall, the Aussi could then weaken further, which could lead to negative potential, especially against the US- Dollar.

The daily chart of AUDUSD remains below the falling trend line. Prices could therefore continue to fall below 0.6630. The data will be published on Wednesday, 26 June at 03:30 CET

US – PCE Price Index – The US Federal Reserve continues to hold interest rates. Only when the data cools down further will interest rates be reduced. The PCE price index indicates possible potential here, with weaker than expected data in favor of a reduction in rates. This should then also weaken the US- Dollar. However, the recent strength of the Greenback could continue if there are no signs of easing, which is to be expected. There is therefore much to be said in favor of a strong Dollar against other currencies. The data will be published on Friday, 28 June at 14:30 CET.