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觀看-重生成為交易者

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吉姆·羅傑斯給投資新手的3條冷門貼士

目錄

吉姆·羅傑斯給投資新手的3條冷門貼士

吉姆·羅傑斯給投資新手的3條冷門貼士

Vantage Updated Updated Wed, 2022 November 30 09:09

在新冠病毒全球大流行期間,一波統稱為「一代投資者」(Generation Investors)的新投資者大量湧入股票市場。投資者教育基金會(FINRA Foundation)和芝加哥大學全國民意研究中心(NORC)的一項研究顯示,新冠肺炎疫情期間所發生的股市大跌使得市場上出現大量便宜的股票 [1],許多新手交易者和年輕交易者得以以更小的資金開始交易股票。

而在 Vantage 平台上,我們也看到新交易者和年輕交易者在疫情期間的數量實際增加了。在對傳奇投資者吉姆·羅傑斯(Jim Rogers)的獨家采訪中,我們有機會請教他對新手交易者的建議,以及他對當前市場狀況的看法。觀看影片:

以下是吉姆·羅傑斯對新手投資者給出的三條建議。

#1 停止尋找交易熱點信息

“給我一個大熱的交易熱點。 我只想要一個投資熱門貼士。請遠離所謂的交易熱點,只投資在你了解的事物。”

許多人認為投資很無聊,他們更希望得到一個可以在一周內快速致富的交易熱門貼士。羅傑斯強調,與其依賴交易熱點進行買賣,新手投資者更應專注堅守在自己所擅長和熟悉的領域,一無所知的事物則不碰。

事實上,每個人都有自己擅長和熟悉的領域,無論是汽車、時尚還是其他産品。投資在自己擅長和熟悉的領域有助于實現個人財富的增長,這是因為你能夠更好地了解該公司的産品、行業和公司潛在的成長機會。

但是,如果我根本沒有非常擅長或熟悉的領域,怎麽辦?吉姆對這個問題的觀點是“耐心等待”。

作為一個對投資一無所知的新手交易者,你可以什麽都不做、不進入市場交易,直到找到你有信心或完全了解的領域。在等待的時間,花點時間慢慢學習,對你感興趣的領域努力搜集與掌握更多相關知識。過程可能會很枯燥無味,但這是參與交易和投資必須要走的第一步。

#2 為經濟衰退做好准備

隨著美國市場正處于歷史上最長的牛市,我們請羅傑斯分享了他對即將到來的經濟衰退的看法。

以下是他的觀點。

“我在市場已經待了很長一段時間,經多次牛熊市。與一些大熊市相比,即將到來的經濟衰退並不能算是熊市。在2008年,全世界都面臨著沈重的債務負擔。即便是中國現在也有巨額債務,且在過去25年,甚至沒有人願意借錢給中國。但到了今天,全世界都背負著巨額債務,美國甚至已經成為世界史上最大的債務國之一。

所有市場都將受此影響,並將大幅下跌。在即將到來的熊市期間,許多股票價格將下跌 70-80%,各地許多公司也會宣告破産倒閉。”

吉姆更表示來臨的熊市不會只持續幾個月,預計至少會持續3至4年時間。當股價持續處于下跌趨勢,即可定義為熊市,通常會伴隨著經濟衰退和高失業率的發生 [2]

想進一步了解什麽是經濟衰退,推薦閱讀以下文章:

1. A guide to recession: everything you need to know

2. 5 ways to prepare yourself for a recession

3. Here’s how a recession can affect your portfolio 

#3 以大宗商品作為替代資産

每個人都想聽聽大宗商品大師分享他對大宗商品的見解。黃金和白銀等大宗商品能否作為對沖通脹的一種方式? 大宗商品在這一代人的投資組合中可以占有一席之地嗎?

羅傑斯說:“無論如何,對沖風險是一項非常明智的策略,只要你知道自己在做什麽,只要你做對了。”

隨著市場對商品和服務的需求增加,相關的成本會上升,用于生産這些商品和服務的商品價格也會上漲。

以下是羅傑斯對白銀和黃金的看法。

“我同時擁有黃金和白銀,但我現在兩個都不會買。”

如果機會浮現,他會考慮買入更多白銀,因為白銀的價格要比以前便宜得多。他目前正在觀望等待黃金或白銀的行情變得更疲弱,再利用這個時機買入更多黃金或白銀。

羅傑斯的最後一個建議:

“如果你正確地了解價格和基本面,那麽不管你在做什麽,你的風險都會相對減少。”

無論交易者決定購買哪一種金融證券,買在合適的價格、同時對該産品進行適當的研究,都可以降低交易風險。

如果你已經准備好展開交易之旅,建議你從 Vantage 模擬賬戶開始,提供高達$100,000的虛擬資金,以實際進行買賣操作模擬和無風險交易。或者,你也可以開設一個真實賬戶,在機會出現時立刻開始真金白銀的交易。

James Beeland Rogers Jr.,吉姆·羅傑斯(Jim Rogers),美國資深投資人、Beeland Interests Inc. 董事長、金融作家、量子基金(Quantum)及索羅斯基金管理公司(Soros Fund Management)共同創辦人。在1998年推出了羅傑斯國際商品指數。

參考

  1. “Investing 2020: New Accounts and the People Who Opened Them – FINRA Investor Education Foundation”. https://www.finrafoundation.org/sites/finrafoundation/files/investing-2020-new-accounts-and-the-people-who-opened-them_1_0.pdf. Accessed 28 Oct 2022.
  2. “A Brief History of U.S. Bear Markets – Investopedia”. https://www.investopedia.com/a-history-of-bear-markets-4582652. Accessed 28 Oct 2022.

The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the interviewee and the author, and do not necessarily reflect the opinions of Vantage. The article is written based upon information the author considers reliable, and Vantage does not warrant its accuracy or completeness, and it should not be relied upon as such. Past performance is not an indication of future results.

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